Eastbourne Borough 1-1 Dover Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 12 Mar 2024

📅12/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.59
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.34
6+ Goals
8%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.59 — our 30% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.8pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastbourne Borough EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Dover Athletic EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -11%
2.36/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.70
+26% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastbourne Borough
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Dover Athletic
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.11.2023 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
11.02.2023 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic 2-1 HT 1-1 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough İCON
03.09.2022 Eastbourne Borough Eastbourne Borough 3-1 HT 2-1 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastbourne Borough
1-1
AWAY Dover Athletic
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Eastbourne Borough vs Dover Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastbourne Borough and Dover Athletic couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Eastbourne Borough at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Eastbourne Borough had 59% of the ball to Dover Athletic's 41%, shots finished 19-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Eastbourne Borough and 1.33 for Dover Athletic.

What was the final score of Eastbourne Borough vs Dover Athletic?

Eastbourne Borough 1-1 Dover Athletic in the England - Conference on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastbourne Borough vs Dover Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastbourne Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Eastbourne Borough 52%, draw 23%, Dover Athletic 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Eastbourne Borough), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eastbourne Borough) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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