Blyth Spartans 1-2 Darlington 1883 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 12 Mar 2024

📅12/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.29
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.58
6+ Goals
11%
14.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 30% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
-4.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+0.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blyth Spartans EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Darlington 1883 EU Bookmakers 42%
-2% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
1.25/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.29
-6% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blyth Spartans
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Darlington 1883
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
24.10.2023 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 0-0 HT 0-0 Blyth Spartans Blyth Spartans İCON
07.04.2023 Blyth Spartans Blyth Spartans 0-0 HT 0-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
27.09.2022 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-0 HT 0-0 Blyth Spartans Blyth Spartans İCON
05.03.2022 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-0 HT 0-0 Blyth Spartans Blyth Spartans İCON
11.09.2021 Blyth Spartans Blyth Spartans 2-2 HT 2-1 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
28.12.2020 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 6-0 HT 3-0 Blyth Spartans Blyth Spartans İCON
POST-MATCH Blyth Spartans vs Darlington 1883
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darlington 1883 nicked a narrow win over Blyth Spartans 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; Darlington 1883 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Darlington 1883 led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Blyth Spartans and 1.67 for Darlington 1883.

What was the final score of Blyth Spartans vs Darlington 1883?

Blyth Spartans 1-2 Darlington 1883 in the England - Conference on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blyth Spartans vs Darlington 1883?

Before kick-off our model rated an Darlington 1883 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Blyth Spartans 31%, draw 30%, Darlington 1883 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Darlington 1883), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Darlington 1883) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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