Hereford FC 3-3 Alfreton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 12 Mar 2024

📅12/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.72
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.3
6+ Goals
8%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.6pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hereford FC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Alfreton Town EU Bookmakers 38%
+2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -16%
1.42/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.38
+6% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
323 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hereford FC
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Alfreton Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.10.2023 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 3-1 HT 0-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
11.02.2023 Hereford FC Hereford FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
03.09.2022 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
02.04.2022 Hereford FC Hereford FC 1-2 HT 0-2 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
23.10.2021 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 3-3 HT 2-1 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
01.02.2020 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hereford FC
3-3
AWAY Alfreton Town
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Hereford FC vs Alfreton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hereford FC and Alfreton Town couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hereford FC had 61% of the ball to Alfreton Town's 39%, shots finished 15-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alfreton Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hereford FC and 1.83 for Alfreton Town.

What was the final score of Hereford FC vs Alfreton Town?

Hereford FC 3-3 Alfreton Town in the England - Conference on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hereford FC vs Alfreton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hereford FC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Hereford FC 37%, draw 28%, Alfreton Town 35%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hereford FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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