Scarborough Athletic 0-2 Curzon Ashton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 12 Mar 2024

📅12/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.86
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.08
6+ Goals
8%
19.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 30% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.3pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Scarborough Athletic EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Curzon Ashton EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
2.00/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.20
+30% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Scarborough Athletic
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Curzon Ashton
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.10.2023 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 0-1 HT 0-0 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
07.04.2023 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton İCON
01.10.2022 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic 2-2 HT 1-1 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton FAK
27.09.2022 Curzon Ashton Curzon Ashton 2-0 HT 1-0 Scarborough Athletic Scarborough Athletic İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Scarborough Athletic
0-2
AWAY Curzon Ashton
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Scarborough Athletic vs Curzon Ashton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Curzon Ashton beat Scarborough Athletic 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Scarborough Athletic at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Scarborough Athletic had 56% of the ball to Curzon Ashton's 44%, shots finished 17-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Curzon Ashton led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Scarborough Athletic and 1.25 for Curzon Ashton.

What was the final score of Scarborough Athletic vs Curzon Ashton?

Scarborough Athletic 0-2 Curzon Ashton in the England - Conference on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Scarborough Athletic vs Curzon Ashton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Scarborough Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Scarborough Athletic 42%, draw 29%, Curzon Ashton 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Scarborough Athletic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Scarborough Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5
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