Southport vs Chester Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Southport v Chester — Team-Based Signals
Southport vs Chester Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Chester
İCON
1-2
HT 0-0
Chester
İCON
1-0
HT 0-0
Southport
İCON
5-0
HT 1-0
Southport
İCON
Southport 0-1 Chester — Actual Match Statistics
Chester squeezed past Southport 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Chester made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, Southport had 44% of the ball to Chester's 56%, shots finished 5-12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chester led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Southport and 1.67 for Chester.
What was the final score of Southport vs Chester?
Southport 0-1 Chester in the England - Conference on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Southport vs Chester?
Before kick-off our model rated an Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Southport 32%, draw 28%, Chester 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chester), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.