Brighton & Hove Albion vs Liverpool Prediction — Model Probabilities
Brighton & Hove Albion v Liverpool — Team-Based Signals
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Liverpool Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Liverpool — Actual Match Statistics
Brighton & Hove Albion edged past Liverpool 2-1. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
A gentle 45% lean on Liverpool didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Liverpool saw more of the ball, 53% to 47%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 2.17 to 0.88 — on chances created, Brighton & Hove Albion won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool led the recent series with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Brighton & Hove Albion against 2.33 for Liverpool.
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Liverpool Result & Final Score
Brighton & Hove Albion 2 - 1 Liverpool in the England - Premier League on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Liverpool Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Brighton & Hove Albion 29%, draw 26%, Liverpool 45%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liverpool) went the other way.