Everton 3-0 Chelsea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 21 Mar 2026

Everton
3 - 0 HT 1 - 0
Chelsea
📅21/03/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
England - Premier League – 2025/2026

Everton vs Chelsea Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
44%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.95
Over
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.64
No
43%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.41
2-3
46%
1.76
4-5
23%
3.26
6+
6%
11.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.62
1/2 ✗
4%
24.8
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
10%
6.71
X/2
16%
5.16
X/X
17%
4.65
2/1
2%
31.0
2/2
25%
3.06
2/X
5%
12.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.8 — our 4% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Everton v Chelsea — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Everton The Market 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea The Market 45%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.25 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.64
1.54 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.29
Average Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Average
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 82%
25 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3

Everton vs Chelsea Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Everton
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Chelsea
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.08 xG 1.77
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
241 Passes 514
75% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.12.2025 Chelsea Chelsea 2-0 HT 2-0 Everton Everton İNP
26.04.2025 Chelsea Chelsea 1-0 HT 1-0 Everton Everton İNP
22.12.2024 Everton Everton 0-0 HT 0-0 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
15.04.2024 Chelsea Chelsea 6-0 HT 4-0 Everton Everton İNP
10.12.2023 Everton Everton 2-0 HT 0-0 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
18.03.2023 Chelsea Chelsea 2-2 HT 0-0 Everton Everton İNP

Everton 3-0 Chelsea — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton
3 - 0
AWAY Chelsea
0.93 xG 0.93
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
318 Passes 617
81% Pass Accuracy 89%
25 Box Touches 32
18 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Everton vs Chelsea
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Everton swept aside Chelsea 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Chelsea at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Under the surface, Chelsea saw more of the ball, 64% to 36%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.93 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelsea led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Everton against 1.83 for Chelsea.

Everton vs Chelsea Result & Final Score

Everton 3 - 0 Chelsea in the England - Premier League on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Everton vs Chelsea Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Everton 28%, draw 28%, Chelsea 44%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Chelsea), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chelsea) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
21 Mar 2026
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