Fulham vs Burnley Prediction — Model Probabilities
Fulham v Burnley — Team-Based Signals
Fulham vs Burnley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Fulham 3-1 Burnley — Actual Match Statistics
Fulham got the better of Burnley 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Fulham as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
By the numbers, Fulham had 55% of the ball to Burnley's 45%, shots finished 22-9, expected goals 3.15 to 1.24.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burnley led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fulham and 2.00 for Burnley.
Fulham vs Burnley Result & Final Score
Fulham 3 - 1 Burnley in the England - Premier League on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Fulham vs Burnley Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Fulham win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Fulham 64%, draw 20%, Burnley 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fulham), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.