Chelsea vs Everton Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chelsea v Everton — Team-Based Signals
Chelsea vs Everton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Chelsea
İNP
2-2
HT 0-0
Everton
İNP
0-1
HT 0-1
Chelsea
İNP
1-0
HT 0-0
Chelsea
İNP
Chelsea 1-0 Everton — Actual Match Statistics
Chelsea squeezed past Everton 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Chelsea as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Chelsea had 55% of the ball to Everton's 45%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 0.88 to 0.44.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chelsea and 0.83 for Everton.
What was the final score of Chelsea vs Everton?
Chelsea 1-0 Everton in the England - Premier League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chelsea vs Everton?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Chelsea 54%, draw 24%, Everton 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.