Wolverhampton 3-0 Leicester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.72
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
28%
3.05
6+ Goals
12%
9.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.94
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
9%
15.85
X/1
17%
4.07
X/2
10%
11.5
X/X
11%
5.99
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.8
2/2
7%
9.28
2/X
6%
17.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.8 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.3pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.8pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+4.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.1pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Leicester City EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.45/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/2.01
-49% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -20%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 73%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
22.1 Crosses 14.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolverhampton
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Leicester City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.19 xG 1.18
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
372 Passes 415
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.12.2024 Leicester City Leicester City 0-3 HT 0-3 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
22.04.2023 Leicester City Leicester City 2-1 HT 1-1 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
23.10.2022 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 0-4 HT 0-2 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
20.02.2022 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 2-1 HT 1-1 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
14.08.2021 Leicester City Leicester City 1-0 HT 1-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
07.02.2021 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 0-0 HT 0-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolverhampton
3-0
AWAY Leicester City
2.02 xG 1.15
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
535 Passes 399
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
28 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Wolverhampton vs Leicester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolverhampton ran out comfortable winners over Leicester City 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wolverhampton as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Wolverhampton had 56% of the ball to Leicester City's 44%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 2.02 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leicester City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wolverhampton and 1.33 for Leicester City.

What was the final score of Wolverhampton vs Leicester City?

Wolverhampton 3-0 Leicester City in the England - Premier League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolverhampton vs Leicester City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolverhampton win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Wolverhampton 53%, draw 26%, Leicester City 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolverhampton), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wolverhampton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
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