Newcastle United 3-0 Ipswich Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.18
Draw
21%
6.26
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.96
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.78
2-3 Goals
40%
2.19
4-5 Goals
28%
2.44
6+ Goals
12%
4.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.33
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
25.0
X/1
18%
3.99
X/2
6%
27.0
X/X
9%
10.8
2/1
7%
21.05
2/2
6%
22.0
2/X
5%
29.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
79%
-17.8pp
21%
Draw
12%
+8.5pp
17%
Away Win
8%
+9.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle United EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 11%
-12% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +17%
2.35/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/2.26
-13% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +13%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
457 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
37.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
23.8 Crosses 10.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ipswich Town
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.33 xG 0.73
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
413 Passes 259
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2024 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 0-4 HT 0-3 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
17.04.2017 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 3-1 HT 1-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNCL
22.10.2016 Newcastle United Newcastle United 3-0 HT 1-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
24.04.2010 Newcastle United Newcastle United 2-2 HT 1-1 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNCL
26.09.2009 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 0-4 HT 0-3 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNCL
16.03.2002 Newcastle United Newcastle United 2-2 HT 0-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle United
3-0
AWAY Ipswich Town
2.85 xG 0.10
78% Ball Possession 22%
25 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 0
11 Corners 2
568 Passes 124
92% Pass Accuracy 67%
68 Box Touches 6
47 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Newcastle United vs Ipswich Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle United ran out comfortable winners over Ipswich Town 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Newcastle United as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Newcastle United had 78% of the ball to Ipswich Town's 22%, shots finished 25-4, expected goals 2.85 to 0.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Newcastle United and 1.17 for Ipswich Town.

What was the final score of Newcastle United vs Ipswich Town?

Newcastle United 3-0 Ipswich Town in the England - Premier League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle United vs Ipswich Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle United win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Newcastle United 62%, draw 21%, Ipswich Town 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle United), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Newcastle United) ✓ Over 2.5
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