Southampton vs Fulham Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Southampton v Fulham — Team-Based Signals
Southampton vs Fulham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Fulham
İNP
2-1
HT 1-0
Southampton
İNP
3-1
HT 1-0
Fulham
İNP
0-0
HT 0-0
Southampton
İNP
0-1
HT 0-0
Southampton
İNLK
Southampton 1-2 Fulham — Actual Match Statistics
Fulham squeezed past Southampton 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Fulham as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Southampton had 35% of the ball to Fulham's 65%, shots finished 7-26, expected goals 0.63 to 2.42 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fulham's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Southampton and 0.83 for Fulham.
What was the final score of Southampton vs Fulham?
Southampton 1-2 Fulham in the England - Premier League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Southampton vs Fulham?
Before kick-off our model rated an Fulham win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Southampton 21%, draw 23%, Fulham 56%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fulham), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.