Chelsea vs Everton Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chelsea v Everton — Team-Based Signals
Chelsea vs Everton Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Chelsea
İNP
2-2
HT 0-0
Everton
İNP
0-1
HT 0-1
Chelsea
İNP
Chelsea 2-0 Everton — Actual Match Statistics
Chelsea beat Everton 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Chelsea as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Chelsea had 58% of the ball to Everton's 42%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 2.20 to 1.04.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelsea had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Chelsea and 0.67 for Everton.
What was the final score of Chelsea vs Everton?
Chelsea 2-0 Everton in the England - Premier League on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chelsea vs Everton?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Chelsea 56%, draw 25%, Everton 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.