Arsenal 2-1 Wolverhampton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home OUR CALL
78%
1.16
Draw
14%
7.13
Away
8%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.43
Over 2.5
58%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.44
No
52%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
22%
5.09
2-3 Goals
38%
1.97
4-5 Goals
25%
2.68
6+ Goals
15%
6.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.09 — our 22% vs market 14.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1.26
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
4%
33.5
X/1
28%
3.74
X/2
4%
35.0
X/X
4%
10.3
2/1
10%
28.5
2/2
3%
35.0
2/X
5%
35.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Arsenal win — 78%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
78%
Home Win
82%
-4.4pp
14%
Draw
12%
+2.0pp
9%
Away Win
6%
+2.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
37%
+11.4pp
52%
BTTS No
63%
-11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 8%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
2.18/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/2.07
+8% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +7%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
495 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
43.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
20.1 Crosses 12.8
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Wolverhampton
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.87 xG 0.54
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
437 Passes 348
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
37 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.01.2025 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 0-1 HT 0-0 Arsenal Arsenal İNP
17.08.2024 Arsenal Arsenal 2-0 HT 1-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
20.04.2024 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 0-2 HT 0-1 Arsenal Arsenal İNP
02.12.2023 Arsenal Arsenal 2-1 HT 2-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
28.05.2023 Arsenal Arsenal 5-0 HT 3-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
12.11.2022 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 0-2 HT 0-0 Arsenal Arsenal İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal
2-1
AWAY Wolverhampton
1.13 xG 0.31
69% Ball Possession 31%
16 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 0
500 Passes 180
87% Pass Accuracy 69%
41 Box Touches 14
30 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Arsenal vs Wolverhampton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal edged past Wolverhampton 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arsenal as the likeliest winner at 78%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Arsenal had 69% of the ball to Wolverhampton's 31%, shots finished 16-3, expected goals 1.13 to 0.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Arsenal and 0.17 for Wolverhampton.

What was the final score of Arsenal vs Wolverhampton?

Arsenal 2-1 Wolverhampton in the England - Premier League on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal vs Wolverhampton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 78%, with the full match-result split Arsenal 78%, draw 14%, Wolverhampton 9%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İNP More England - Premier League
13 Dec 2025
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