Wolverhampton 0-1 Arsenal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 25 Jan 2025

Wolverhampton
0-1 HT 0-0
Arsenal
📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Wolverhampton vs Arsenal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.71
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
54%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.5
6+ Goals
11%
13.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.5 — our 27% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
9.02
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
23.85
1/X
6%
17.15
X/1
12%
10.7
X/2
17%
4.03
X/X
8%
5.12
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
28%
2.03
2/X
8%
15.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.85 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
18%
+6.7pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.6pp
54%
Away Win
58%
-4.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-5.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+5.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.5pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wolverhampton v Arsenal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolverhampton EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal EU Bookmakers 62%
+11% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.22/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/0.96
+8% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +20%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
276 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 456 · 84%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.9
18.4 Crosses 17.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6

Wolverhampton vs Arsenal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolverhampton
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Arsenal
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.64 xG 2.52
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
338 Passes 452
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 42
11 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.08.2024 Arsenal Arsenal 2-0 HT 1-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
20.04.2024 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 0-2 HT 0-1 Arsenal Arsenal İNP
02.12.2023 Arsenal Arsenal 2-1 HT 2-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
28.05.2023 Arsenal Arsenal 5-0 HT 3-0 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP
12.11.2022 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton 0-2 HT 0-0 Arsenal Arsenal İNP
24.02.2022 Arsenal Arsenal 2-1 HT 0-1 Wolverhampton Wolverhampton İNP

Wolverhampton 0-1 Arsenal — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolverhampton
0-1
AWAY Arsenal
0.74 xG 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
364 Passes 329
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wolverhampton vs Arsenal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal edged past Wolverhampton 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arsenal as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wolverhampton had 52% of the ball to Arsenal's 48%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.74 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Wolverhampton and 2.50 for Arsenal.

What was the final score of Wolverhampton vs Arsenal?

Wolverhampton 0-1 Arsenal in the England - Premier League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolverhampton vs Arsenal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Wolverhampton 25%, draw 21%, Arsenal 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İNP More England - Premier League
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