Liverpool 4-1 Ipswich Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.16
Draw
18%
7.78
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.46
Over 2.5
62%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
8.07
2-3 Goals
39%
2.33
4-5 Goals
29%
2.32
6+ Goals
16%
3.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1.21
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
31.5
X/1
15%
3.97
X/2
5%
34.5
X/X
4%
13.55
2/1
10%
21.45
2/2
4%
31.0
2/X
7%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
82%
-13.4pp
18%
Draw
10%
+7.4pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+6.0pp
38%
Under 2.5
25%
+12.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
75%
-12.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Ipswich Town EU Bookmakers 9%
-4% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
2.46/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/2.12
+1% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +47%
64% Ball Possession 36%
21 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
541 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 74%
42.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.5
24.2 Crosses 7.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Ipswich Town
2.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
2.65 xG 0.45
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
492 Passes 272
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
50 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
17.08.2024 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
11.05.2002 Liverpool Liverpool 5-0 HT 2-0 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNP
09.02.2002 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 0-6 HT 0-2 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
10.04.2001 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Liverpool Liverpool İNP
10.12.2000 Liverpool Liverpool 0-1 HT 0-1 Ipswich Town Ipswich Town İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool
4-1
AWAY Ipswich Town
1.98 xG 0.48
70% Ball Possession 30%
16 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
673 Passes 241
90% Pass Accuracy 77%
43 Box Touches 7
24 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Liverpool vs Ipswich Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool ran out comfortable winners over Ipswich Town 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Liverpool as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Liverpool had 70% of the ball to Ipswich Town's 30%, shots finished 16-3, expected goals 1.98 to 0.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Liverpool had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.80 goals for Liverpool and 0.40 for Ipswich Town.

What was the final score of Liverpool vs Ipswich Town?

Liverpool 4-1 Ipswich Town in the England - Premier League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool vs Ipswich Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Liverpool 69%, draw 18%, Ipswich Town 13%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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