Bournemouth 5-0 Nottingham Forest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.72
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.09
6+ Goals
10%
10.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.56
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
12%
4.73
X/2
8%
7.9
X/X
14%
5.1
2/1
8%
22.55
2/2
15%
5.68
2/X
7%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bournemouth EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Nottingham Forest EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.61/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.93
-11% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +54%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 72%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
18.6 Crosses 14.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bournemouth
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Nottingham Forest
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.13 xG 1.30
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
320 Passes 310
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-1 HT 1-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
04.02.2024 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1-1 HT 1-1 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
23.12.2023 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 2-3 HT 0-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
21.01.2023 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1-1 HT 1-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
03.09.2022 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 2-3 HT 2-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
03.05.2022 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1-0 HT 0-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bournemouth
5-0
AWAY Nottingham Forest
1.69 xG 0.98
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 18
10 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
288 Passes 253
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 34
17 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bournemouth ran out comfortable winners over Nottingham Forest 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bournemouth as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Bournemouth had 51% of the ball to Nottingham Forest's 49%, shots finished 16-18, expected goals 1.69 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bournemouth had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bournemouth and 1.17 for Nottingham Forest.

What was the final score of Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest?

Bournemouth 5-0 Nottingham Forest in the England - Premier League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bournemouth win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bournemouth 45%, draw 26%, Nottingham Forest 29%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bournemouth), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bournemouth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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