GIANA Erminio 2-0 Pergolettese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.19
No
53%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
5.63
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.6pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.5pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.9pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Pergolettese EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.30/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.32
-2% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GIANA Erminio
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Pergolettese
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.11.2025 Pergolettese Pergolettese 0-3 HT 0-1 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
13.04.2025 Pergolettese Pergolettese 0-1 HT 0-1 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
01.12.2024 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 0-0 HT 0-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
23.12.2023 Pergolettese Pergolettese 0-1 HT 0-1 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
20.03.2022 Pergolettese Pergolettese 2-0 HT 1-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
14.11.2021 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 1-1 HT 0-1 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GIANA Erminio
2-0
AWAY Pergolettese
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH GIANA Erminio vs Pergolettese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GIANA Erminio got the better of Pergolettese 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had GIANA Erminio as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, GIANA Erminio had 41% of the ball to Pergolettese's 59%, shots finished 9-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, GIANA Erminio had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for GIANA Erminio and 0.50 for Pergolettese.

What was the final score of GIANA Erminio vs Pergolettese?

GIANA Erminio 2-0 Pergolettese in the Italy - Serie C on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GIANA Erminio vs Pergolettese?

Before kick-off our model rated a GIANA Erminio win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split GIANA Erminio 44%, draw 27%, Pergolettese 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GIANA Erminio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (GIANA Erminio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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