Atalanta II 0-2 Casertana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.76
No
41%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.93
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
3.55
6+ Goals
12%
14.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.55 — our 23% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-5.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.4pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.9pp
41%
BTTS No
47%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Casertana EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -8%
1.71/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.25
+29% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atalanta II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Casertana
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2025 Casertana Casertana 1-0 HT 1-0 Atalanta II Atalanta II İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta II
0-2
AWAY Casertana
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atalanta II vs Casertana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casertana saw off Atalanta II 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Casertana found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atalanta II had 58% of the ball to Casertana's 42%, shots finished 10-10.

What was the final score of Atalanta II vs Casertana?

Atalanta II 0-2 Casertana in the Italy - Serie C on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atalanta II vs Casertana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atalanta II 40%, draw 30%, Casertana 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atalanta II), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atalanta II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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