Renate 1-3 Vicenza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
44%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.25
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.75
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-2.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+2.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.5pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renate EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Vicenza EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.86/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.24
-23% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
260 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renate
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Vicenza
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.11.2025 Vicenza Vicenza 1-0 HT 1-0 Renate Renate İTC
01.02.2025 Renate Renate 0-1 HT 0-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
24.09.2024 Vicenza Vicenza 1-0 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
17.02.2024 Renate Renate 0-2 HT 0-1 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
15.10.2023 Vicenza Vicenza 1-2 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
11.02.2023 Vicenza Vicenza 2-1 HT 1-0 Renate Renate İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renate
1-3
AWAY Vicenza
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Renate vs Vicenza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vicenza saw off Renate 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vicenza as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Renate had 43% of the ball to Vicenza's 57%, shots finished 11-23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vicenza led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Renate and 1.33 for Vicenza.

What was the final score of Renate vs Vicenza?

Renate 1-3 Vicenza in the Italy - Serie C on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renate vs Vicenza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vicenza win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Renate 28%, draw 28%, Vicenza 44%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vicenza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vicenza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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