Vicenza 1-0 Renate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 16 Nov 2025

📅16/11/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.47
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
15%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.29
No
51%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.63
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
4.11
6+ Goals
9%
20.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
63%
-3.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.4pp
15%
Away Win
14%
+0.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.0pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vicenza EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Renate EU Bookmakers 17%
+4% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +7%
2.01/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.36
+18% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
419 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vicenza
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Renate
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
01.02.2025 Renate Renate 0-1 HT 0-0 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
24.09.2024 Vicenza Vicenza 1-0 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
17.02.2024 Renate Renate 0-2 HT 0-1 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
15.10.2023 Vicenza Vicenza 1-2 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
11.02.2023 Vicenza Vicenza 2-1 HT 1-0 Renate Renate İTC
16.10.2022 Renate Renate 2-1 HT 1-1 Vicenza Vicenza İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vicenza
1-0
AWAY Renate
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vicenza vs Renate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vicenza edged past Renate 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vicenza as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Vicenza had 40% of the ball to Renate's 60%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vicenza had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vicenza and 0.83 for Renate.

What was the final score of Vicenza vs Renate?

Vicenza 1-0 Renate in the Italy - Serie C on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vicenza vs Renate?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vicenza win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Vicenza 60%, draw 25%, Renate 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vicenza), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vicenza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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