Benevento 3-1 SS Monopoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 16 Nov 2025

📅16/11/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.47
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.77
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.88
6+ Goals
9%
17.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 34% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
64%
-1.7pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.1pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+2.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.0pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benevento EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY SS Monopoli EU Bookmakers 16%
-4% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +14%
1.77/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.47
+4% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
327 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benevento
1W-1D-3L
AWAY SS Monopoli
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.02.2025 Benevento Benevento 0-0 HT 0-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
26.09.2024 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 1-0 HT 0-0 Benevento Benevento İTC
23.03.2024 Benevento Benevento 0-1 HT 0-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
19.11.2023 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 3-0 HT 1-0 Benevento Benevento İTC
11.10.2015 Benevento Benevento 2-1 HT 0-1 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benevento
3-1
AWAY SS Monopoli
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Benevento vs SS Monopoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benevento beat SS Monopoli 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Benevento as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Benevento had 58% of the ball to SS Monopoli's 42%, shots finished 16-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, SS Monopoli led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Benevento and 1.20 for SS Monopoli.

What was the final score of Benevento vs SS Monopoli?

Benevento 3-1 SS Monopoli in the Italy - Serie C on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benevento vs SS Monopoli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benevento win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Benevento 62%, draw 22%, SS Monopoli 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benevento) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Benevento) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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