SS Monopoli 1-0 Benevento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 26 Sep 2024

📅26/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.75
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
45%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.69
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.35
6+ Goals
10%
22.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.69 — our 34% vs market 31.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
23%
+2.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
45%
Away Win
50%
-5.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.5pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SS Monopoli EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Benevento EU Bookmakers 55%
-9% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.02/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.53
-3% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +85%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SS Monopoli
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Benevento
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 4
23.03.2024 Benevento Benevento 0-1 HT 0-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
19.11.2023 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 3-0 HT 1-0 Benevento Benevento İTC
11.10.2015 Benevento Benevento 2-1 HT 0-1 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SS Monopoli
1-0
AWAY Benevento
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SS Monopoli vs Benevento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SS Monopoli edged past Benevento 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Benevento at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, SS Monopoli had 42% of the ball to Benevento's 58%, shots finished 7-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, SS Monopoli had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for SS Monopoli and 0.67 for Benevento.

What was the final score of SS Monopoli vs Benevento?

SS Monopoli 1-0 Benevento in the Italy - Serie C on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SS Monopoli vs Benevento?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benevento win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split SS Monopoli 25%, draw 30%, Benevento 45%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Benevento) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Benevento) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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