Milan II 2-1 SPAL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 26 Sep 2024

📅26/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.33
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.62
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.48
6+ Goals
9%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
39%
-6.3pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.3pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milan II EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY SPAL EU Bookmakers 36%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.21
-18% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
307 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milan II
2-1
AWAY SPAL
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Milan II vs SPAL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milan II edged past SPAL 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 34% / 33% — and on the day Milan II made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Milan II had 50% of the ball to SPAL's 50%, shots finished 8-14.

What was the final score of Milan II vs SPAL?

Milan II 2-1 SPAL in the Italy - Serie C on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milan II vs SPAL?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Milan II 33%, draw 34%, SPAL 33%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
26 Sep 2024
19:30 Clodiense vs Trento AC Analysis →
19:30 Pineto vs Pontedera Analysis →
19:30 Athletic Carpi vs Ascoli Analysis →
19:30 Juventus II vs Picerno Analysis →
21:45 Triestina vs Lumezzane Analysis →
21:45 Campobasso vs Vis Pesaro Analysis →