Campobasso 3-2 Vis Pesaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 26 Sep 2024

📅26/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.27
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
5.39
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
40%
+4.6pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.3pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Campobasso EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 33%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
1.41/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.97
+16% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
264 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Campobasso
3-2
AWAY Vis Pesaro
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Campobasso vs Vis Pesaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Campobasso nicked a narrow win over Vis Pesaro 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Campobasso as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Campobasso had 34% of the ball to Vis Pesaro's 66%, shots finished 7-14.

What was the final score of Campobasso vs Vis Pesaro?

Campobasso 3-2 Vis Pesaro in the Italy - Serie C on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Campobasso vs Vis Pesaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Campobasso win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Campobasso 45%, draw 27%, Vis Pesaro 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Campobasso) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Campobasso) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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