Pineto 1-1 Pontedera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 26 Sep 2024

📅26/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
42%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.31
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
5.27
6+ Goals
7%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-7.8pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.4pp
42%
Away Win
29%
+13.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.9pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pineto EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontedera EU Bookmakers 32%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +20%
0.85/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.20
-30% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pineto
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Pontedera
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
13.02.2024 Pontedera Pontedera 2-3 HT 0-2 Pineto Pineto İTC
08.10.2023 Pineto Pineto 4-1 HT 2-1 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pineto
1-1
AWAY Pontedera
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pineto vs Pontedera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pineto and Pontedera couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Pontedera at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Pineto had 58% of the ball to Pontedera's 42%, shots finished 16-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Pineto had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Pineto and 1.50 for Pontedera.

What was the final score of Pineto vs Pontedera?

Pineto 1-1 Pontedera in the Italy - Serie C on 26/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pineto vs Pontedera?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pontedera win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Pineto 34%, draw 24%, Pontedera 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pontedera), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pontedera) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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