Benevento 0-1 SS Monopoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.47
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.44
No
51%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.52
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.7
6+ Goals
9%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
64%
-10.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+10.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
37%
+12.3pp
51%
BTTS No
63%
-12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benevento EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY SS Monopoli EU Bookmakers 16%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.81/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.65
+6% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benevento
1W-0D-1L
AWAY SS Monopoli
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
19.11.2023 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 3-0 HT 1-0 Benevento Benevento İTC
11.10.2015 Benevento Benevento 2-1 HT 0-1 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benevento
0-1
AWAY SS Monopoli
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Benevento vs SS Monopoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SS Monopoli squeezed past Benevento 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Benevento at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Benevento had 60% of the ball to SS Monopoli's 40%, shots finished 13-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Benevento and 2.00 for SS Monopoli.

What was the final score of Benevento vs SS Monopoli?

Benevento 0-1 SS Monopoli in the Italy - Serie C on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benevento vs SS Monopoli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benevento win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Benevento 53%, draw 24%, SS Monopoli 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Benevento) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Benevento) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
23 Mar 2024
16:00 AlbinoLeffe vs Pro Sesto Analysis →
16:00 Lumezzane vs Virtus Verona Analysis →
16:00 Virtus Francavilla vs Nuova Monterosi Analysis →
16:00 GIANA Erminio vs Alessandria Analysis →
16:00 ACR Messina vs Foggia Calcio Analysis →
16:00 Picerno vs US Latina Analysis →