Alcione vs Novara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alcione v Novara — Team-Based Signals
Alcione vs Novara Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Alcione 0-1 Novara — Actual Match Statistics
Novara edged past Alcione 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Novara made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
On the day, Alcione had 53% of the ball to Novara's 47%, shots finished 5-7.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Alcione had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Alcione and 1.00 for Novara.
What was the final score of Alcione vs Novara?
Alcione 0-1 Novara in the Italy - Serie C on 16/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alcione vs Novara?
Before kick-off our model rated an Novara win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Alcione 33%, draw 29%, Novara 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novara), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.