Novara 1-1 Alcione — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.86
6+ Goals
8%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-0.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.4pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novara EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcione EU Bookmakers 26%
+1% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.44/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.63
+2% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +94%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novara
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Alcione
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.09.2024 Alcione 2-1 HT 1-0 Novara Novara İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novara
1-1
AWAY Alcione
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Novara vs Alcione
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novara and Alcione shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Novara at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Novara had 60% of the ball to Alcione's 40%, shots finished 9-9.

What was the final score of Novara vs Alcione?

Novara 1-1 Alcione in the Italy - Serie C on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novara vs Alcione?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novara win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Novara 47%, draw 29%, Alcione 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Novara), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Novara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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