SS Monopoli 1-2 Catania — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.45
Over 2.5
46%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.0
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
5.68
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.4pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.5pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
65%
-10.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
35%
+10.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.7pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SS Monopoli EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Catania EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.35/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.82
-5% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SS Monopoli
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Catania
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
29.09.2024 Catania Catania 1-0 HT 0-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
28.01.2024 Catania Catania 1-1 HT 1-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
21.09.2023 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 0-0 HT 0-0 Catania Catania İTC
22.12.2021 Catania Catania 0-2 HT 0-1 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
28.08.2021 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 3-0 HT 2-0 Catania Catania İTC
31.01.2021 Catania Catania 3-1 HT 1-1 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SS Monopoli
1-2
AWAY Catania
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH SS Monopoli vs Catania
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catania edged past SS Monopoli 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was SS Monopoli at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, SS Monopoli had 65% of the ball to Catania's 35%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for SS Monopoli and 0.83 for Catania.

What was the final score of SS Monopoli vs Catania?

SS Monopoli 1-2 Catania in the Italy - Serie C on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SS Monopoli vs Catania?

Before kick-off our model rated a SS Monopoli win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split SS Monopoli 42%, draw 31%, Catania 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (SS Monopoli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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