Catania vs SS Monopoli Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Catania v SS Monopoli — Team-Based Signals
Catania vs SS Monopoli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Catania
İTC
0-2
HT 0-1
SS Monopoli
İTC
3-0
HT 2-0
Catania
İTC
3-1
HT 1-1
SS Monopoli
İTC
0-1
HT 0-0
Catania
İTC
0-2
HT 0-1
SS Monopoli
İTC
Catania 1-1 SS Monopoli — Actual Match Statistics
Catania and SS Monopoli shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Catania at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Catania had 58% of the ball to SS Monopoli's 42%, shots finished 24-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SS Monopoli led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Catania and 1.33 for SS Monopoli.
What was the final score of Catania vs SS Monopoli?
Catania 1-1 SS Monopoli in the Italy - Serie C on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Catania vs SS Monopoli?
Before kick-off our model rated a Catania win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Catania 58%, draw 25%, SS Monopoli 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Catania), BTTS No went the other way.