Catania 1-0 SS Monopoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.3
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.29
6+ Goals
8%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.5pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catania EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY SS Monopoli EU Bookmakers 26%
+1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
1.12/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.14
-23% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catania
2W-2D-2L
AWAY SS Monopoli
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
57% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
28.01.2024 Catania Catania 1-1 HT 1-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
21.09.2023 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 0-0 HT 0-0 Catania Catania İTC
22.12.2021 Catania Catania 0-2 HT 0-1 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
28.08.2021 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 3-0 HT 2-0 Catania Catania İTC
31.01.2021 Catania Catania 3-1 HT 1-1 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
04.10.2020 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 0-1 HT 0-0 Catania Catania İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catania
1-0
AWAY SS Monopoli
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Catania vs SS Monopoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catania edged past SS Monopoli 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Catania as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Catania had 47% of the ball to SS Monopoli's 53%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Catania and 1.17 for SS Monopoli.

What was the final score of Catania vs SS Monopoli?

Catania 1-0 SS Monopoli in the Italy - Serie C on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catania vs SS Monopoli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Catania win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Catania 43%, draw 28%, SS Monopoli 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Catania), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Catania) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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