Virtus Entella 2-1 SPAL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.49
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.23
6+ Goals
9%
22.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-7.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.0pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY SPAL EU Bookmakers 18%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.74/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.82
+0% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
336 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Virtus Entella
1W-2D-3L
AWAY SPAL
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.47 xG 1.48
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
366 Passes 340
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.09.2024 SPAL SPAL 0-2 HT 0-1 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
14.04.2024 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 1-2 HT 1-1 SPAL SPAL İTC
09.12.2023 SPAL SPAL 0-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
12.03.2021 SPAL SPAL 0-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB
30.11.2020 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 0-1 HT 0-0 SPAL SPAL İTB
11.02.2017 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 0-3 HT 0-3 SPAL SPAL İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Entella
2-1
AWAY SPAL
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Virtus Entella vs SPAL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Entella edged past SPAL 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Virtus Entella as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Virtus Entella had 41% of the ball to SPAL's 59%, shots finished 7-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, SPAL led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Virtus Entella and 1.00 for SPAL.

What was the final score of Virtus Entella vs SPAL?

Virtus Entella 2-1 SPAL in the Italy - Serie C on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Entella vs SPAL?

Before kick-off our model rated a Virtus Entella win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Virtus Entella 54%, draw 26%, SPAL 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Virtus Entella) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Virtus Entella) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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