Inter Milano (K) 2-2 Napoli (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
13%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
23%
X/2
3%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Inter Milano (K) win — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
66%
-1.8pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.6pp
14%
Away Win
14%
-0.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Milano (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Napoli (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -1%
1.84/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.53
-16% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
31.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
22.7 Crosses 11.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Milano (K)
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Napoli (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
2.11 xG 0.68
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
366 Passes 172
78% Pass Accuracy 62%
28 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
16.11.2025 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) İTKSA
23.11.2024 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
15.09.2024 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 1-4 HT 1-0 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) İTKSA
27.01.2024 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 2-3 HT 1-0 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) İTKSA
21.10.2023 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Milano (K)
2-2
AWAY Napoli (K)
0.97 xG 1.14
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
339 Passes 266
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
27 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Inter Milano (K) vs Napoli (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Milano (K) and Napoli (K) shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Inter Milano (K) at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Inter Milano (K) had 54% of the ball to Napoli (K)'s 46%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 0.97 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Inter Milano (K) had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Inter Milano (K) and 0.80 for Napoli (K).

What was the final score of Inter Milano (K) vs Napoli (K)?

Inter Milano (K) 2-2 Napoli (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Milano (K) vs Napoli (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Milano (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Inter Milano (K) 65%, draw 22%, Napoli (K) 14%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inter Milano (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter Milano (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İTKSA More Italya - Women's Serie A
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