Almagro 1-0 Quilmes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.46
Draw
41%
2.7
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
Over 2.5
27%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.67
No
67%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
47%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
26%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-6.8pp
41%
Draw
34%
+7.1pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.3pp
33%
BTTS Yes
33%
-0.5pp
67%
BTTS No
67%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almagro EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Quilmes EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
0.73/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/0.93
-30% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
241 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 198 · 62%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almagro
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Quilmes
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
31.08.2025 Almagro Almagro 2-2 HT 0-1 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
27.04.2025 Quilmes Quilmes 0-1 HT 0-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
24.09.2022 Quilmes Quilmes 1-1 HT 1-1 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
21.10.2019 Almagro Almagro 2-1 HT 0-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
22.05.2005 Almagro Almagro 2-0 HT 0-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJ
07.11.2004 Quilmes Quilmes 1-0 HT 0-0 Almagro Almagro ARJ
FAQ Almagro vs Quilmes
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Almagro edged past Quilmes 1-0 in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 21 Mar 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 73% and both teams scoring was against the odds at 33%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almagro have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Almagro and 0.83 for Quilmes.

What was the final score of Almagro vs Quilmes?

Almagro 1-0 Quilmes in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almagro vs Quilmes?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Almagro 31%, draw 41%, Quilmes 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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