Para Hills Knights 0-5 Sturt Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.13
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
61%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.39
No
42%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
22%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
21%
-3.3pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.7pp
62%
Away Win
60%
+1.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.6pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Para Hills Knights EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Sturt Lions EU Bookmakers 64%
-8% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-26% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
291 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 457 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Para Hills Knights vs Sturt Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sturt Lions swept aside Para Hills Knights 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sturt Lions as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

What was the final score of Para Hills Knights vs Sturt Lions?

Para Hills Knights 0-5 Sturt Lions in the Australia - National Premier League on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Para Hills Knights vs Sturt Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sturt Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Para Hills Knights 18%, draw 21%, Sturt Lions 62%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sturt Lions), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sturt Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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