South Hobart 5-1 Kingborough Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒05:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
20%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.39
No
35%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
13%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-2.5pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.5pp
20%
Away Win
22%
-2.0pp
65%
BTTS Yes
68%
-2.7pp
35%
BTTS No
32%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South Hobart EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Kingborough Lions EU Bookmakers 26%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.55/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/2.61
+18% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -27%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South Hobart
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Kingborough Lions
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
26.07.2025 South Hobart South Hobart 4-1 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
24.05.2025 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 2-3 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
15.03.2025 South Hobart South Hobart 4-2 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
27.07.2024 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 1-4 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
25.05.2024 South Hobart South Hobart 3-3 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions AVNPL
16.03.2024 Kingborough Lions Kingborough Lions 1-3 South Hobart South Hobart AVNPL
POST-MATCH South Hobart vs Kingborough Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South Hobart cruised past Kingborough Lions 5-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had South Hobart as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, South Hobart had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for South Hobart and 1.67 for Kingborough Lions.

What was the final score of South Hobart vs Kingborough Lions?

South Hobart 5-1 Kingborough Lions in the Australia - National Premier League on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South Hobart vs Kingborough Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a South Hobart win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split South Hobart 54%, draw 26%, Kingborough Lions 20%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South Hobart), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (South Hobart) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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