Mokpo City 1-2 Ulsan Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.5pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.2pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-6.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+6.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.7pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mokpo City EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Citizen EU Bookmakers 38%
-13% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +17%
0.75/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.03
-35% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
331 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mokpo City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ulsan Citizen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
4 Corners 4
21.09.2025 Mokpo City Mokpo City 1-2 HT 1-2 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
23.05.2025 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 1-0 HT 1-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
30.03.2024 Mokpo City Mokpo City 1-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
02.09.2023 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 1-1 HT 1-1 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
06.05.2023 Mokpo City Mokpo City 3-0 HT 2-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
24.09.2022 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 0-1 HT 0-0 Mokpo City Mokpo City GK3L
POST-MATCH Mokpo City vs Ulsan Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Citizen edged past Mokpo City 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 34%) promised a tight game; Ulsan Citizen found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mokpo City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mokpo City and 0.67 for Ulsan Citizen.

What was the final score of Mokpo City vs Ulsan Citizen?

Mokpo City 1-2 Ulsan Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mokpo City vs Ulsan Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mokpo City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mokpo City 40%, draw 25%, Ulsan Citizen 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mokpo City) ✗ Under 2.5
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