Naft 1-1 Al Shorta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 21 Mar 2026

Naft
1-1 HT 0-1
Al Shorta
📅21/03/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Iraq - Premier League – 2025/2026

Naft vs Al Shorta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
54%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.67
Over 2.5
51%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.03
No
49%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
35%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+3.4pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.0pp
54%
Away Win
53%
+0.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.7pp
49%
BTTS No
55%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Naft v Al Shorta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shorta EU Bookmakers 57%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.52/0.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.63
-43% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +42%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
263 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 444 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Naft vs Al Shorta Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naft
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Shorta
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
15.06.2025 Al Shorta Al Shorta 4-0 HT 1-0 Naft Naft IRAK
02.12.2023 Al Shorta Al Shorta 0-1 HT 0-0 Naft Naft IRAK
POST-MATCH Naft vs Al Shorta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft and Al Shorta couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Shorta at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Naft and 2.00 for Al Shorta.

What was the final score of Naft vs Al Shorta?

Naft 1-1 Al Shorta in the Iraq - Premier League on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft vs Al Shorta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Shorta win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Naft 24%, draw 22%, Al Shorta 54%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Shorta), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Shorta) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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