Parceiro Nagano 1-3 Iwaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.4
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
59%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.04
6+ Goals
9%
10.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 29% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
30%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
15%
+2.4pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.5pp
59%
Away Win
64%
-5.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Iwaki EU Bookmakers 69%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+46% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
189 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 447 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
6.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parceiro Nagano
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Iwaki
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.09.2022 Iwaki Iwaki 1-0 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
10.04.2022 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 0-4 HT 0-1 Iwaki Iwaki JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parceiro Nagano
1-3
AWAY Iwaki
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
136 Passes 151
59% Pass Accuracy 59%
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Parceiro Nagano vs Iwaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Iwaki saw off Parceiro Nagano 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Iwaki as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Parceiro Nagano had 48% of the ball to Iwaki's 52%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Iwaki led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Parceiro Nagano and 2.50 for Iwaki.

What was the final score of Parceiro Nagano vs Iwaki?

Parceiro Nagano 1-3 Iwaki in the JAP2-3 on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parceiro Nagano vs Iwaki?

Before kick-off our model rated an Iwaki win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Parceiro Nagano 18%, draw 24%, Iwaki 59%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Iwaki) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Iwaki) ✗ Under 2.5
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