Jubilo Iwata 1-4 Omiya Ardija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 21 Mar 2026

Jubilo Iwata
1-4 HT 0-2
Omiya Ardija
📅21/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
JAP2-3 – 2026

Jubilo Iwata vs Omiya Ardija Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.38
6+ Goals
9%
13.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.8pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jubilo Iwata v Omiya Ardija — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Jubilo Iwata vs Omiya Ardija Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jubilo Iwata
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Omiya Ardija
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 2
387 Passes 298
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
44 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.09.2025 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 3-4 HT 2-1 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
31.05.2025 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 2-2 HT 1-1 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
09.09.2023 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 3-2 HT 1-1 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
11.03.2023 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 1-0 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
30.10.2021 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 1-2 HT 1-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
21.04.2021 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 3-2 HT 1-1 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2

Jubilo Iwata 1-4 Omiya Ardija — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jubilo Iwata
1-4
AWAY Omiya Ardija
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
195 Passes 349
64% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jubilo Iwata vs Omiya Ardija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Omiya Ardija swept aside Jubilo Iwata 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Omiya Ardija made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Jubilo Iwata had 41% of the ball to Omiya Ardija's 59%, shots finished 11-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jubilo Iwata had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Jubilo Iwata and 2.00 for Omiya Ardija.

What was the final score of Jubilo Iwata vs Omiya Ardija?

Jubilo Iwata 1-4 Omiya Ardija in the JAP2-3 on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jubilo Iwata vs Omiya Ardija?

Before kick-off our model rated an Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Jubilo Iwata 34%, draw 28%, Omiya Ardija 39%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Omiya Ardija), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Omiya Ardija) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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