Omiya Ardija 2-2 Jubilo Iwata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 31 May 2025

Omiya Ardija
2-2 HT 1-1
Jubilo Iwata
📅31/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Japan - J2 League – 2025

Omiya Ardija vs Jubilo Iwata Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.64
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.1
6+ Goals
13%
10.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.2pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Omiya Ardija v Jubilo Iwata — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.47/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.39
-6% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
23.7 Crosses 18.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8

Omiya Ardija vs Jubilo Iwata Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Omiya Ardija
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Jubilo Iwata
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
09.09.2023 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 3-2 HT 1-1 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
11.03.2023 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 1-0 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
30.10.2021 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 1-2 HT 1-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
21.04.2021 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 3-2 HT 1-1 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
06.12.2020 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 2-0 HT 2-0 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
12.08.2020 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 2-2 HT 1-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2

Omiya Ardija 2-2 Jubilo Iwata — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omiya Ardija
2-2
AWAY Jubilo Iwata
38% Ball Possession 62%
16 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 9
243 Passes 443
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
6 Crosses 44
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Omiya Ardija vs Jubilo Iwata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Omiya Ardija and Jubilo Iwata couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Omiya Ardija at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Omiya Ardija had 38% of the ball to Jubilo Iwata's 62%, shots finished 16-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jubilo Iwata led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Omiya Ardija and 2.00 for Jubilo Iwata.

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija vs Jubilo Iwata?

Omiya Ardija 2-2 Jubilo Iwata in the Japan - J2 League on 31/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija vs Jubilo Iwata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija 44%, draw 24%, Jubilo Iwata 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Omiya Ardija) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Omiya Ardija) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2 More Japan - J2 League
31 May 2025
08:00 Fujieda MYFC vs Montedio Yamagata Analysis →
08:00 JEF United vs Renofa Yamaguchi Analysis →
08:00 Mito HollyHock vs V-Varen Nagasaki Analysis →
08:00 Vegalta Sendai vs Consadole Sapporo Analysis →
08:00 Blaublitz Akita vs Kataller Toyama Analysis →
08:00 Sagan Tosu vs Ehime FC Analysis →