Mito HollyHock 3-0 V-Varen Nagasaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 31 May 2025

Mito HollyHock
3-0 HT 3-0
V-Varen Nagasaki
📅31/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2025

Mito HollyHock vs V-Varen Nagasaki Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.53
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.17
6+ Goals
9%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.53 — our 30% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.0pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.1pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.1pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mito HollyHock v V-Varen Nagasaki — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mito HollyHock EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.37/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.42
+17% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.3 Crosses 17.7
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5

Mito HollyHock vs V-Varen Nagasaki Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mito HollyHock
1W-1D-4L
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
438 Passes 376
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.08.2024 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 1-2 HT 1-1 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
02.06.2024 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 2-3 HT 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
12.08.2023 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 3-3 HT 2-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
03.05.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 4-0 HT 2-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2
14.09.2022 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock 0-1 HT 0-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
27.04.2022 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 1-0 HT 1-0 Mito HollyHock Mito HollyHock JAP2

Mito HollyHock 3-0 V-Varen Nagasaki — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mito HollyHock
3-0
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
317 Passes 379
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mito HollyHock vs V-Varen Nagasaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mito HollyHock swept aside V-Varen Nagasaki 3-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 36% — and on the day Mito HollyHock made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Mito HollyHock had 47% of the ball to V-Varen Nagasaki's 53%, shots finished 17-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, V-Varen Nagasaki led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mito HollyHock and 2.17 for V-Varen Nagasaki.

What was the final score of Mito HollyHock vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Mito HollyHock 3-0 V-Varen Nagasaki in the Japan - J2 League on 31/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mito HollyHock vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mito HollyHock win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mito HollyHock 40%, draw 23%, V-Varen Nagasaki 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mito HollyHock), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mito HollyHock) ✓ BTTS No
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