Fujieda MYFC 2-1 Montedio Yamagata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 31 May 2025

📅31/05/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.23
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.38
6+ Goals
11%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 29% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.3pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fujieda MYFC EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -9%
1.21/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.10
+3% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses 16.7
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fujieda MYFC
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
285 Passes 341
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 0-1 HT 0-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
20.03.2024 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 0-1 HT 0-0 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP2
05.08.2023 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 1-2 HT 0-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
07.05.2023 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 3-2 HT 0-2 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fujieda MYFC
2-1
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
40% Ball Possession 60%
17 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
214 Passes 392
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fujieda MYFC vs Montedio Yamagata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fujieda MYFC edged past Montedio Yamagata 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Fujieda MYFC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Fujieda MYFC had 40% of the ball to Montedio Yamagata's 60%, shots finished 17-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Montedio Yamagata led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fujieda MYFC and 1.50 for Montedio Yamagata.

What was the final score of Fujieda MYFC vs Montedio Yamagata?

Fujieda MYFC 2-1 Montedio Yamagata in the Japan - J2 League on 31/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fujieda MYFC vs Montedio Yamagata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fujieda MYFC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Fujieda MYFC 38%, draw 25%, Montedio Yamagata 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fujieda MYFC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fujieda MYFC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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