Fujieda MYFC 0-1 Montedio Yamagata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
35%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.1
Over 2.5
42%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
4.06
2-3 Goals
48%
1.84
4-5 Goals
16%
3.09
6+ Goals
10%
9.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.06 — our 26% vs market 19.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
29%
+7.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
35%
Away Win
45%
-10.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
44%
+14.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
56%
-14.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.8pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fujieda MYFC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 49%
+8% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -13%
1.39/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.10
+25% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.0 Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fujieda MYFC
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.03.2024 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 0-1 HT 0-0 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP2
05.08.2023 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 1-2 HT 0-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
07.05.2023 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 3-2 HT 0-2 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fujieda MYFC
0-1
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
285 Passes 341
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fujieda MYFC vs Montedio Yamagata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montedio Yamagata nicked a narrow win over Fujieda MYFC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Montedio Yamagata found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Fujieda MYFC had 47% of the ball to Montedio Yamagata's 53%, shots finished 9-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Montedio Yamagata led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fujieda MYFC and 1.67 for Montedio Yamagata.

What was the final score of Fujieda MYFC vs Montedio Yamagata?

Fujieda MYFC 0-1 Montedio Yamagata in the Japan - J2 League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fujieda MYFC vs Montedio Yamagata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fujieda MYFC win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Fujieda MYFC 36%, draw 29%, Montedio Yamagata 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fujieda MYFC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fujieda MYFC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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