Kagoshima United 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.65
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
49%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.88
2-3 Goals
44%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.17
6+ Goals
10%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
19%
+7.3pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
49%
Away Win
58%
-8.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.9pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 62%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
1.33/2.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/0.78
+37% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
269 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kagoshima United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
11.05.2024 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 4-0 HT 2-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kagoshima United
0-1
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 6
192 Passes 570
75% Pass Accuracy 89%
12 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kagoshima United vs Shimizu S-Pulse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shimizu S-Pulse nicked a narrow win over Kagoshima United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shimizu S-Pulse as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kagoshima United had 32% of the ball to Shimizu S-Pulse's 68%, shots finished 6-24.

What was the final score of Kagoshima United vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Kagoshima United 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse in the Japan - J2 League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kagoshima United vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shimizu S-Pulse win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kagoshima United 26%, draw 25%, Shimizu S-Pulse 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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