Matsumoto Yamaga 2-2 FC Gifu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.61
6+ Goals
9%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 30% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
12%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Gifu EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga
2W-3D-1L
AWAY FC Gifu
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
246 Passes 390
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.07.2025 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP3
29.03.2025 FC Gifu FC Gifu 1-1 HT 0-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
31.08.2024 FC Gifu FC Gifu 0-1 HT 0-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
31.03.2024 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP3
24.09.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP3
12.03.2023 FC Gifu FC Gifu 1-1 HT 1-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga
2-2
AWAY FC Gifu
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
272 Passes 213
67% Pass Accuracy 63%
21 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Matsumoto Yamaga vs FC Gifu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matsumoto Yamaga and FC Gifu couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Matsumoto Yamaga had 55% of the ball to FC Gifu's 45%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Matsumoto Yamaga had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Matsumoto Yamaga and 0.67 for FC Gifu.

What was the final score of Matsumoto Yamaga vs FC Gifu?

Matsumoto Yamaga 2-2 FC Gifu in the JAP2-3 on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matsumoto Yamaga vs FC Gifu?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Gifu win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Matsumoto Yamaga 36%, draw 27%, FC Gifu 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Gifu), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Gifu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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