JFK Ventspils 0-1 Riga Mariners — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.29
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
51%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
4%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
34%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
27%
-2.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
51%
Away Win
49%
+2.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.7pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JFK Ventspils EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga Mariners EU Bookmakers 53%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
1.52/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.40/1.00
+37% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +92% / +9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JFK Ventspils
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Riga Mariners
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
13.09.2025 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils 1-2 HT 1-1 Riga Mariners LET1
03.05.2025 Riga Mariners 1-2 JFK Ventspils JFK Ventspils LET1
POST-MATCH JFK Ventspils vs Riga Mariners
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga Mariners squeezed past JFK Ventspils 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Riga Mariners as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for JFK Ventspils and 1.50 for Riga Mariners.

What was the final score of JFK Ventspils vs Riga Mariners?

JFK Ventspils 0-1 Riga Mariners in the Latvia - 1st Division on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JFK Ventspils vs Riga Mariners?

Before kick-off our model rated an Riga Mariners win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split JFK Ventspils 25%, draw 24%, Riga Mariners 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga Mariners) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga Mariners) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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