Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-2 Wisla Plock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
61%
1.6
Draw
23%
3.74
Away
16%
4.55
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.94
Over
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.8
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.39
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
24%
3.15
6+
6%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
2.03
1/2
1%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.8
X/1
19%
4.08
X/2
6%
10.2
X/X
14%
5.42
2/1
3%
22.25
2/2
9%
8.24
2/X
5%
16.55
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok The Market 62%
Signal
AWAY Wisla Plock The Market 22%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.30 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.92
0.84 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.70
Strong Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Average
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
31 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Wisla Plock
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.39 xG 1.62
47% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
298 Passes 339
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.09.2025 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 0-1 HT 0-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
21.04.2023 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 2-4 HT 2-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
07.10.2022 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-1 HT 0-1 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
13.03.2022 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 0-1 HT 0-1 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL
18.09.2021 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 3-0 HT 0-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
18.04.2021 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock 2-2 HT 0-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok
1 - 2
AWAY Wisla Plock
2.05 xG 1.68
74% Ball Possession 26%
25 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
586 Passes 158
89% Pass Accuracy 66%
32 Box Touches 12
53 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Wisla Plock
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Wisla Plock edged past Jagiellonia Bialystok 2-1 on the road.

File this under upsets: a 61% lean on Jagiellonia Bialystok went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 53% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both.

The match data tells the story: possession split 74% to 26% in Jagiellonia Bialystok's favour, shots finished 25-6, expected goals 2.05 to 1.68.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Jagiellonia Bialystok against 1.50 for Wisla Plock.

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Wisla Plock Result & Final Score

Jagiellonia Bialystok 1 - 2 Wisla Plock in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Wisla Plock Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Jagiellonia Bialystok win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Jagiellonia Bialystok 61%, draw 23%, Wisla Plock 16%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL More Poland - Ekstraklasa
21 Mar 2026
16:45 Cracovia Krakow vs Katowice Analysis →
19:30 Lechia Gdansk vs Pogon Szczecin Analysis →