Lechia Gdansk vs Pogon Szczecin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Lechia Gdansk v Pogon Szczecin — Team-Based Signals
Lechia Gdansk vs Pogon Szczecin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Lechia Gdansk 2-1 Pogon Szczecin — Actual Match Statistics
Lechia Gdansk squeezed past Pogon Szczecin 2-1. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Lechia Gdansk made the difference. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%) landed.
On the day, Lechia Gdansk had 40% of the ball to Pogon Szczecin's 60%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 2.87 to 1.53 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Lechia Gdansk's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pogon Szczecin led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lechia Gdansk and 2.00 for Pogon Szczecin.
Lechia Gdansk vs Pogon Szczecin Result & Final Score
Lechia Gdansk 2 - 1 Pogon Szczecin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Lechia Gdansk vs Pogon Szczecin Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Lechia Gdansk win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lechia Gdansk 39%, draw 27%, Pogon Szczecin 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lechia Gdansk), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.